Wednesday, January 19, 2005

Biological attack likely by 2020, report warns / GovExec, Jan 2005

http://www.govexec.com/dailyfed/0105/011405gsn2.htm
Mike Nartker, Global Security Newswire
A terrorist group is "likely" to conduct an attack using biological weapons by 2020, according to a report released Thursday by a CIA think tank.

Over the next 15 years, successes in the global war on terrorism and advances in information technology are likely to result in an increasingly "decentralized" terrorist threat, consisting of an "eclectic array of groups, cells and individuals," says the report, prepared by the National Intelligence Council.

While influenced by al-Qaeda, such smaller groups are expected to overshadow the terrorist organization by 2020 and could recruit new members through the war in Iraq and other possible conflicts, the report says.

Mapping the Global Future : Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project
http://www.cia.gov/nic/NIC_globaltrend2020_s4.html